Log in
Trader leaderboard/amused85

amused85

0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
PnL (30d)
−$15,795
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$277
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-21.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
170W / 297L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
173W / 311L
Trades (30d)
484
across 201 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$83.57
avg win $612 · loss $314
Profit Factor
0.65
$28,754 won / $44,549 lost
Reward / Risk
1.95
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6,053
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $28,326 · all-time $20,507,693

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.4% 170W/297L 201 $85,487
⚽ Sports 54.3% 50W/42L 28 $13,345
₿ Crypto 28.6% 2W/5L 6 $4,713
🏛 Politics 4 $913
💵 Economy 3 $420
🤖 Tech 1 $287
🌤 Weather 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,000 0.245 $2,450.00 $950.00 +63.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,868 0.325 $1,582.05 $-95.04 -5.7%
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 11,690 0.075 $876.75 $-772.49 -46.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 3,365 0.115 $386.95 $117.77 +43.7%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 4,192 0.091 $383.57 $-184.36 -32.5%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 4,613 0.075 $346.00 $-249.18 -41.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 2,470 0.069 $170.43 $-391.22 -69.7%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.165 $165.00 $16.94 +11.4%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,929 0.024 $118.29 $-88.99 -42.9%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,803 0.015 $102.05 $-97.95 -49.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 3,092 0.030 $94.30 $-192.77 -67.2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 9,000 0.009 $85.50 $-40.50 -32.1%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes 1,208 0.043 $51.35 $-373.26 -87.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 1,500 0.033 $48.76 $-41.26 -45.8%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 2,071 0.011 $23.82 $-158.95 -87.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? Yes 1,500 0.013 $19.50 $-64.70 -76.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 316 0.049 $15.32 $-35.31 -69.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? Yes 1,000 0.015 $15.00 $-33.83 -69.3%