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Trader leaderboard/0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3,868
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
1,366W / 905L · 112 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
1,431W / 932L · 20 open
Trades (30d)
2,383
across 609 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$6.93
avg win $44 · loss $32
Profit Factor
1.45
$12,453 won / $8,586 lost
Reward / Risk
1.38
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$242
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,249 · all-time $1,573,902

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 11,733W/10,070L 6606 $257,807
🌤 Weather 49.3% 531W/546L 384 $8,932
⚽ Sports 38.0% 149W/243L 248 $4,254
🏛 Politics 41.4% 75W/106L 60 $6,286
🎬 Culture 31.2% 44W/97L 42 $1,483
💵 Economy 33.3% 15W/30L 16 $2,537
₿ Crypto 57.9% 11W/8L 14 $398
🤖 Tech 14.3% 4W/24L 5 $297

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 174 0.397 $68.82 $9.11 +15.3%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 100 0.686 $68.69 $3.05 +4.6%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 61 0.838 $51.50 $1.54 +3.1%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 1.000 $21.98 $21.98 +0.0%
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.999 $21.96 $21.96 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.565 $19.77 $19.77 +0.0%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.845 $18.58 $18.58 +0.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No 20 0.892 $17.85 $0.94 +5.6%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 17 0.957 $16.44 $16.44 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.440 $15.40 $15.40 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? No 23 0.390 $8.97 $8.97 +0.0%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 207 0.036 $7.56 $3.42 +82.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 30 0.225 $6.80 $5.21 +327.5%
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes 81 0.043 $3.46 $3.46 +0.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 23 0.150 $3.45 $-4.00 -53.7%
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $3.02 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5? No 3 1.000 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 3 1.000 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5? No 3 0.999 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5? No 3 0.998 $2.51 $2.51 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5? No 3 0.986 $2.48 $2.48 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 2 0.996 $2.34 $2.34 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? No 3 0.865 $2.18 $-0.11 -4.9%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 3 0.855 $2.15 $2.15 +0.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 1 0.885 $1.11 $0.64 +139.2%