Log in
Trader leaderboard/0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$217
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
263W / 263L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
275W / 268L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
544
across 113 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$2.15
avg win $18 · loss $19
Profit Factor
0.79
$830 won / $1,047 lost
Reward / Risk
0.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$59
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,344 · all-time $1,573,997

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 11,741W/10,080L 6606 $257,807
🌤 Weather 49.3% 536W/551L 384 $8,932
⚽ Sports 38.0% 149W/243L 248 $4,254
🏛 Politics 41.4% 75W/106L 60 $6,286
🎬 Culture 31.7% 44W/95L 41 $1,482
💵 Economy 34.9% 15W/28L 15 $2,537
₿ Crypto 57.9% 11W/8L 14 $398
🤖 Tech 14.3% 4W/24L 5 $297

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

78 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? Yes 178 0.980 $174.74 $5.35 +3.2%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 100 0.694 $69.43 $3.79 +5.8%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 174 0.397 $68.82 $9.11 +15.3%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 61 0.843 $51.80 $1.84 +3.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6? No 57 0.895 $51.16 $51.16 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 6? No 26 0.996 $25.44 $25.44 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6? No 26 0.985 $25.18 $25.18 +0.0%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 1.000 $21.98 $21.98 +0.0%
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.999 $21.96 $21.96 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 6? No 26 0.795 $20.32 $20.32 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.565 $19.77 $19.77 +0.0%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.844 $18.55 $18.55 +0.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No 20 0.892 $17.86 $0.95 +5.6%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 17 0.964 $16.56 $16.56 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.445 $15.57 $15.57 +0.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? No 34 0.270 $9.10 $9.10 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? No 23 0.395 $9.09 $9.09 +0.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 30 0.235 $7.10 $5.51 +346.5%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 207 0.032 $6.52 $2.38 +57.5%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 23 0.152 $3.49 $-3.95 -53.1%
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes 81 0.043 $3.46 $3.46 +0.0%
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $3.02 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? Yes 179 0.015 $2.69 $-2.69 -50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5? No 3 1.000 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 3 1.000 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%