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Trader leaderboard/0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293

0x8b8b9c565c8dca43cfb767f0f2c20b2b323d2512
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$19
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
154W / 102L · 147 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
239W / 160L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
403
across 61 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$0.54
avg win $20 · loss $35
Profit Factor
0.96
$442 won / $461 lost
Reward / Risk
0.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$177
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $47,249 · all-time $1,573,902

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 11,738W/10,070L 6606 $257,807
🌤 Weather 49.5% 536W/546L 384 $8,932
⚽ Sports 38.0% 149W/243L 248 $4,254
🏛 Politics 41.4% 75W/106L 60 $6,286
🎬 Culture 31.7% 44W/95L 41 $1,482
💵 Economy 34.9% 15W/28L 15 $2,537
₿ Crypto 57.9% 11W/8L 14 $398
🤖 Tech 14.3% 4W/24L 5 $297

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

74 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? No 100 0.695 $69.49 $3.85 +5.9%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 174 0.397 $68.91 $9.20 +15.4%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 61 0.840 $51.59 $1.63 +3.3%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 1.000 $21.98 $21.98 +0.0%
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.999 $21.96 $21.96 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.560 $19.60 $19.60 +0.0%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 22 0.844 $18.56 $18.56 +0.0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No 20 0.892 $17.86 $0.95 +5.6%
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? No 17 0.964 $16.56 $16.56 +0.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 35 0.450 $15.75 $15.75 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? No 23 0.390 $8.97 $8.97 +0.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? Yes 30 0.230 $6.95 $5.36 +337.0%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 207 0.032 $6.63 $2.48 +60.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 23 0.166 $3.80 $-3.64 -48.9%
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes 81 0.043 $3.46 $3.46 +0.0%
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $3.02 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5? No 3 1.000 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 3 0.999 $2.52 $2.52 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 5? No 3 0.998 $2.51 $2.51 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5? No 3 0.997 $2.51 $2.51 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 5? No 3 0.994 $2.50 $2.50 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? No 3 0.955 $2.41 $0.11 +4.9%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5? Yes 2 1.000 $2.35 $2.35 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? No 3 0.585 $1.47 $1.47 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? No 3 0.535 $1.35 $1.35 +0.0%