| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,000 |
0.790 |
$1,581.00 |
$581.00 |
+58.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,100 |
0.510 |
$1,070.83 |
$140.40 |
+15.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.675 |
$1,012.50 |
$52.50 |
+5.5% |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
3,878 |
0.200 |
$775.51 |
$-49.75 |
-6.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3,081 |
0.235 |
$724.09 |
$-150.45 |
-17.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,888 |
0.125 |
$486.00 |
$-30.42 |
-5.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
588 |
0.725 |
$426.66 |
$142.74 |
+50.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.209 |
$419.00 |
$-581.00 |
-58.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,030 |
0.395 |
$406.66 |
$46.33 |
+12.9% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
2,557 |
0.145 |
$370.82 |
$-369.10 |
-49.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
555 |
0.585 |
$324.67 |
$-45.20 |
-12.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
744 |
0.427 |
$318.04 |
$-21.27 |
-6.3% |
| Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
1,676 |
0.175 |
$293.27 |
$-7.20 |
-2.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,795 |
0.155 |
$278.27 |
$-329.79 |
-54.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
990 |
0.236 |
$234.03 |
$144.90 |
+162.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
777 |
0.245 |
$190.37 |
$-27.20 |
-12.5% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
668 |
0.270 |
$180.24 |
$19.31 |
+12.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,519 |
0.115 |
$174.65 |
$-51.32 |
-22.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
545 |
0.235 |
$128.06 |
$7.83 |
+6.5% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.690 |
$108.31 |
$34.02 |
+45.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
1,348 |
0.080 |
$107.80 |
$-201.91 |
-65.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
603 |
0.175 |
$105.57 |
$-18.22 |
-14.7% |
| Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? |
No |
203 |
0.515 |
$104.75 |
$27.25 |
+35.2% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
229 |
0.455 |
$104.22 |
$10.31 |
+11.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
205 |
0.465 |
$95.51 |
$-25.67 |
-21.2% |