| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,000 |
0.790 |
$1,581.00 |
$581.00 |
+58.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,100 |
0.565 |
$1,186.10 |
$255.67 |
+27.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.675 |
$1,012.50 |
$52.50 |
+5.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3,081 |
0.290 |
$893.55 |
$19.02 |
+2.2% |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
3,878 |
0.200 |
$775.51 |
$-49.75 |
-6.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,888 |
0.145 |
$563.76 |
$47.34 |
+9.2% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
588 |
0.715 |
$420.78 |
$136.85 |
+48.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.209 |
$419.00 |
$-581.00 |
-58.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,030 |
0.405 |
$416.96 |
$56.62 |
+15.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,795 |
0.215 |
$385.98 |
$-222.08 |
-36.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
2,557 |
0.145 |
$370.82 |
$-369.10 |
-49.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
555 |
0.625 |
$346.88 |
$-23.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
1,676 |
0.175 |
$293.27 |
$-7.20 |
-2.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
369 |
0.725 |
$267.66 |
$118.85 |
+79.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
990 |
0.246 |
$243.93 |
$154.80 |
+173.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
777 |
0.250 |
$194.25 |
$-23.31 |
-10.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,519 |
0.115 |
$174.65 |
$-51.32 |
-22.7% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
668 |
0.260 |
$173.57 |
$12.63 |
+7.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
545 |
0.225 |
$122.61 |
$2.38 |
+2.0% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
229 |
0.485 |
$111.09 |
$17.18 |
+18.3% |
| Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? |
No |
203 |
0.535 |
$108.81 |
$31.32 |
+40.4% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
603 |
0.180 |
$108.58 |
$-15.20 |
-12.3% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.690 |
$108.31 |
$34.02 |
+45.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
1,348 |
0.080 |
$107.80 |
$-201.91 |
-65.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
205 |
0.465 |
$95.51 |
$-25.67 |
-21.2% |