| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
2,000 |
0.790 |
$1,581.00 |
$581.00 |
+58.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,100 |
0.535 |
$1,123.32 |
$192.89 |
+20.7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.675 |
$1,012.50 |
$52.50 |
+5.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
3,081 |
0.295 |
$908.96 |
$34.42 |
+3.9% |
| Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
Yes |
3,878 |
0.205 |
$794.90 |
$-30.37 |
-3.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,888 |
0.125 |
$486.00 |
$-30.42 |
-5.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.209 |
$419.00 |
$-581.00 |
-58.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,030 |
0.405 |
$416.96 |
$56.62 |
+15.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
588 |
0.705 |
$414.89 |
$130.97 |
+46.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,795 |
0.215 |
$385.98 |
$-222.08 |
-36.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
Yes |
2,557 |
0.145 |
$370.82 |
$-369.10 |
-49.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
555 |
0.625 |
$346.88 |
$-23.00 |
-6.2% |
| Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? |
Yes |
1,676 |
0.175 |
$293.27 |
$-7.20 |
-2.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
990 |
0.200 |
$197.42 |
$108.29 |
+121.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
777 |
0.245 |
$190.37 |
$-27.20 |
-12.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,519 |
0.125 |
$189.84 |
$-36.13 |
-16.0% |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
668 |
0.280 |
$186.92 |
$25.98 |
+16.1% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
545 |
0.230 |
$125.33 |
$5.11 |
+4.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
603 |
0.180 |
$108.58 |
$-15.20 |
-12.3% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
157 |
0.680 |
$106.76 |
$32.47 |
+43.7% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
229 |
0.460 |
$105.37 |
$11.45 |
+12.2% |
| Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? |
No |
203 |
0.515 |
$104.75 |
$27.25 |
+35.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
1,348 |
0.070 |
$94.33 |
$-215.39 |
-69.5% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
340 |
0.275 |
$93.62 |
$13.49 |
+16.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
205 |
0.455 |
$93.46 |
$-27.73 |
-22.9% |