| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
143,923 |
0.935 |
$134,567.66 |
$2,893.71 |
+2.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
108,518 |
0.925 |
$100,379.40 |
$3,844.15 |
+4.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
70,525 |
0.955 |
$67,316.55 |
$1,057.53 |
+1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
51,000 |
0.972 |
$49,546.48 |
$-535.24 |
-1.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
50,235 |
0.945 |
$47,471.98 |
$1,586.67 |
+3.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
48,201 |
0.978 |
$47,116.07 |
$907.81 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
49,000 |
0.825 |
$40,424.99 |
$-4,334.93 |
-9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
23,247 |
0.977 |
$22,700.37 |
$758.40 |
+3.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.935 |
$18,699.94 |
$100.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
18,355 |
1.000 |
$18,345.89 |
$9.18 |
+0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? |
No |
15,000 |
0.998 |
$14,962.48 |
$200.55 |
+1.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
No |
14,131 |
0.996 |
$14,067.33 |
$181.61 |
+1.3% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
13,578 |
0.940 |
$12,763.58 |
$135.78 |
+1.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.969 |
$9,685.00 |
$315.00 |
+3.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
9,838 |
0.977 |
$9,611.65 |
$306.58 |
+3.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? |
No |
8,001 |
0.982 |
$7,856.73 |
$-10.98 |
-0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? |
No |
7,115 |
0.994 |
$7,072.31 |
$19.48 |
+0.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
6,757 |
0.935 |
$6,317.46 |
$92.92 |
+1.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
11,181 |
0.507 |
$5,673.42 |
$2,416.92 |
+74.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
5,294 |
1.000 |
$5,291.56 |
$81.37 |
+1.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.645 |
$5,160.00 |
$180.00 |
+3.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
5,000 |
0.934 |
$4,670.00 |
$-55.99 |
-1.2% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,420 |
0.984 |
$4,347.48 |
$67.26 |
+1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.395 |
$3,950.00 |
$50.01 |
+1.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.750 |
$3,750.00 |
$-400.00 |
-9.6% |