| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
144,145 |
0.935 |
$134,775.43 |
$2,898.18 |
+2.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
108,518 |
0.925 |
$100,379.40 |
$3,844.15 |
+4.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
70,525 |
0.954 |
$67,281.28 |
$1,022.27 |
+1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
51,000 |
0.968 |
$49,342.48 |
$-739.24 |
-1.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
50,235 |
0.945 |
$47,471.98 |
$1,586.67 |
+3.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
48,201 |
0.981 |
$47,260.67 |
$1,052.41 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
40,000 |
0.840 |
$33,599.99 |
$-3,600.00 |
-9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
23,247 |
0.977 |
$22,700.37 |
$758.40 |
+3.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.935 |
$18,699.94 |
$100.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? |
No |
15,000 |
0.998 |
$14,962.48 |
$200.55 |
+1.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
No |
14,131 |
0.996 |
$14,067.33 |
$181.61 |
+1.3% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
13,578 |
0.940 |
$12,763.58 |
$135.78 |
+1.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.970 |
$9,695.00 |
$325.00 |
+3.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
9,838 |
0.977 |
$9,611.65 |
$306.58 |
+3.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
8,044 |
1.000 |
$8,039.99 |
$4.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? |
No |
8,001 |
0.985 |
$7,876.73 |
$9.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? |
No |
7,115 |
0.993 |
$7,065.19 |
$12.37 |
+0.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
6,618 |
0.935 |
$6,187.44 |
$92.18 |
+1.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
11,181 |
0.510 |
$5,702.49 |
$2,445.99 |
+75.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.645 |
$5,160.00 |
$180.00 |
+3.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
4,889 |
1.000 |
$4,886.42 |
$81.16 |
+1.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
5,000 |
0.940 |
$4,700.00 |
$-26.00 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,420 |
0.984 |
$4,347.48 |
$67.26 |
+1.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.405 |
$4,050.00 |
$150.01 |
+3.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.755 |
$3,775.00 |
$-375.00 |
-9.0% |