| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
146,088 |
0.935 |
$136,592.18 |
$2,937.24 |
+2.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
108,518 |
0.925 |
$100,379.40 |
$3,844.15 |
+4.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
70,525 |
0.954 |
$67,246.02 |
$987.00 |
+1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
51,000 |
0.968 |
$49,367.98 |
$-713.74 |
-1.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
50,238 |
0.945 |
$47,474.52 |
$1,586.75 |
+3.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
48,201 |
0.981 |
$47,260.67 |
$1,052.41 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
40,000 |
0.835 |
$33,399.99 |
$-3,800.00 |
-10.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
23,247 |
0.977 |
$22,700.37 |
$758.40 |
+3.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
20,000 |
0.935 |
$18,699.94 |
$100.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? |
No |
15,000 |
0.997 |
$14,954.98 |
$193.05 |
+1.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? |
No |
14,131 |
0.996 |
$14,067.33 |
$181.61 |
+1.3% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
13,578 |
0.940 |
$12,763.58 |
$135.78 |
+1.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
10,000 |
0.966 |
$9,655.00 |
$285.00 |
+3.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
9,838 |
0.977 |
$9,606.73 |
$301.66 |
+3.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? |
No |
8,001 |
0.984 |
$7,868.73 |
$1.02 |
+0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? |
No |
7,115 |
0.993 |
$7,065.19 |
$12.37 |
+0.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
6,596 |
0.935 |
$6,167.68 |
$92.07 |
+1.5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
11,181 |
0.512 |
$5,730.44 |
$2,473.94 |
+76.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,000 |
0.655 |
$5,240.00 |
$260.00 |
+5.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
4,907 |
1.000 |
$4,904.25 |
$2.45 |
+0.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
5,000 |
0.938 |
$4,690.00 |
$-35.99 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
4,420 |
0.983 |
$4,343.06 |
$62.84 |
+1.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.405 |
$4,050.00 |
$150.01 |
+3.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.750 |
$3,750.00 |
$-400.00 |
-9.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
11,110 |
0.325 |
$3,610.89 |
$-663.17 |
-15.5% |