PnL (30d)

+$71

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$22

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

857W / 634L · 49 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

894W / 646L

Trades (30d)

1,540

across 180 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$0.40

avg win $12 · loss $26

Profit Factor

1.05

$1,501 won / $1,430 lost

Reward / Risk

0.47

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$154

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.4% 4,581W/2,020L	897	$127,394
₿ Crypto	98.4% 506W/8L	82	$2,829
🌤 Weather	52.9% 247W/220L	55	$9,428
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5?	Yes	45	0.945	$42.99	$16.34	+61.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	25	0.970	$24.25	$2.00	+9.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5?	No	15	0.975	$14.70	$1.13	+8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	No	131	0.001	$0.07	$-43.84	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	46	0.001	$0.02	$-6.56	-99.6%