PnL (30d)

−$118

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

97%

1,481W / 40L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

97%

1,481W / 40L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

1,524

across 276 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.43

avg win $1 · loss $30

Profit Factor

0.61

$182 won / $300 lost

Reward / Risk

0.02

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$39

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.4% 4,577W/2,014L	883	$125,411
₿ Crypto	98.4% 506W/8L	82	$2,829
🌤 Weather	52.9% 247W/220L	53	$8,836
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5?	No	179	0.640	$114.78	$28.86	+33.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?	No	64	0.895	$57.30	$0.73	+1.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5?	No	46	0.915	$42.52	$0.78	+1.9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5?	No	27	0.945	$25.51	$0.40	+1.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	No	131	0.001	$0.07	$-43.84	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	46	0.001	$0.02	$-6.56	-99.6%