PnL (30d)

−$1,682

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$33

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

4,577W / 2,014L · 70 open

Win Return (30d)

69%

4,606W / 2,041L · 14 open

Trades (30d)

6,661

across 883 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$1.94

avg win $7 · loss $30

Profit Factor

0.72

$4,410 won / $6,092 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$323

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	69.4% 4,577W/2,014L	883	$125,411
₿ Crypto	98.5% 511W/8L	83	$2,852
🌤 Weather	52.6% 247W/223L	54	$8,961
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/6L	2	$171

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5?	No	92	0.735	$67.97	$3.59	+5.6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5?	No	48	0.969	$46.13	$-0.48	-1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	No	131	0.005	$0.66	$-43.25	-98.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	46	0.005	$0.25	$-6.33	-96.1%