mx156
0x8a1e1e8fec1fb91f12ba3b8ebec52d2eda21bd03
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$83
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-94.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 6L
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 6L
Trades (30d)
6
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$27.63
· loss $28
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $83 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $41,262 · all-time $1,497,150
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
Yes |
70,305 |
0.019 |
$1,370.94 |
$-889.85 |
-39.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
14,425 |
0.065 |
$937.63 |
$-341.34 |
-26.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
8,813 |
0.022 |
$198.30 |
$-183.68 |
-48.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
391 |
0.155 |
$60.61 |
$-29.39 |
-32.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
1,196 |
0.036 |
$43.06 |
$-96.94 |
-69.2% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
273 |
0.095 |
$25.97 |
$-45.53 |
-63.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
247 |
0.075 |
$18.50 |
$-31.50 |
-63.0% |