| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
934,821 |
0.845 |
$789,923.64 |
$109,509.59 |
+16.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
21,739 |
0.905 |
$19,673.36 |
$2,941.05 |
+17.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
19,574 |
0.890 |
$17,420.72 |
$3,459.13 |
+24.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
14,693 |
0.962 |
$14,126.90 |
$831.53 |
+6.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
10,784 |
0.945 |
$10,190.96 |
$510.09 |
+5.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
8,816 |
0.950 |
$8,375.26 |
$1,114.28 |
+15.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
8,775 |
0.925 |
$8,116.78 |
$1,101.81 |
+15.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
8,227 |
0.865 |
$7,116.68 |
$1,488.70 |
+26.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
3,616 |
0.998 |
$3,606.63 |
$223.48 |
+6.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
3,702 |
0.870 |
$3,220.82 |
$281.83 |
+9.6% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.993 |
$2,977.42 |
$258.02 |
+9.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
2,825 |
0.986 |
$2,784.04 |
$185.04 |
+7.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
2,206 |
0.969 |
$2,138.02 |
$166.01 |
+8.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,035 |
0.261 |
$2,093.10 |
$-9.89 |
-0.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
2,130 |
0.925 |
$1,970.14 |
$117.15 |
+6.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
2,012 |
0.973 |
$1,956.52 |
$163.19 |
+9.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,052 |
0.875 |
$1,795.27 |
$315.89 |
+21.4% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,587 |
0.853 |
$1,353.32 |
$10.33 |
+0.8% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
1,067 |
0.931 |
$993.94 |
$-6.06 |
-0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
891 |
0.840 |
$748.69 |
$282.69 |
+60.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
618 |
0.905 |
$558.93 |
$26.93 |
+5.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
514 |
0.805 |
$413.83 |
$116.83 |
+39.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
182 |
0.988 |
$180.09 |
$10.09 |
+5.9% |