| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
916,262 |
0.835 |
$765,078.82 |
$100,344.44 |
+15.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
21,739 |
0.905 |
$19,673.36 |
$2,941.05 |
+17.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
19,574 |
0.890 |
$17,420.72 |
$3,459.13 |
+24.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
14,693 |
0.956 |
$14,038.75 |
$743.37 |
+5.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
11,416 |
0.999 |
$11,398.55 |
$717.00 |
+6.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
8,784 |
0.945 |
$8,300.96 |
$520.08 |
+6.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
8,816 |
0.940 |
$8,287.10 |
$1,026.12 |
+14.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
8,775 |
0.930 |
$8,160.66 |
$1,145.69 |
+16.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
6,462 |
0.855 |
$5,525.29 |
$1,415.31 |
+34.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
No |
3,702 |
0.850 |
$3,146.78 |
$207.79 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.993 |
$2,978.92 |
$259.52 |
+9.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
2,825 |
0.985 |
$2,782.62 |
$183.62 |
+7.1% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
2,206 |
0.966 |
$2,131.40 |
$159.39 |
+8.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
8,035 |
0.260 |
$2,085.07 |
$-17.93 |
-0.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
2,130 |
0.920 |
$1,959.49 |
$106.50 |
+5.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? |
No |
2,012 |
0.972 |
$1,954.51 |
$161.18 |
+9.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,052 |
0.845 |
$1,733.71 |
$254.34 |
+17.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,587 |
0.852 |
$1,352.53 |
$9.53 |
+0.7% |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? |
Yes |
1,067 |
0.932 |
$995.00 |
$-4.99 |
-0.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
891 |
0.825 |
$735.32 |
$269.32 |
+57.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
618 |
0.900 |
$555.85 |
$23.85 |
+4.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
514 |
0.785 |
$403.54 |
$106.54 |
+35.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
182 |
0.986 |
$179.82 |
$9.82 |
+5.8% |