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Trader leaderboard/Osetinskaya

Osetinskaya

0x87d6a04aa4e48c6e7a7c9b009d70f1c79e7ed1e7
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$802
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
33W / 34L
Win Return (30d)
49%
33W / 34L
Trades (30d)
67
across 20 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$40.11
avg win $198 · loss $89
Profit Factor
1.82
$1,785 won / $983 lost
Reward / Risk
2.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$448
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,626 · all-time $394,534

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.9% 139W/209L 86 $30,824
₿ Crypto 27.6% 16W/42L 9 $490
⚽ Sports 58.3% 7W/5L 4 $4,561
🏛 Politics 85.7% 6W/1L 2 $241
🔬 Science 100.0% 6W/0L 1 $39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? Yes 1,131 0.984 $1,112.09 $49.39 +4.6%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 1,538 0.415 $638.22 $-115.30 -15.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 307 0.573 $175.71 $17.38 +11.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 451 0.385 $173.69 $110.53 +175.0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,969 0.082 $160.49 $61.04 +61.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 589 0.175 $102.99 $23.43 +29.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 1,478 0.065 $96.08 $-51.74 -35.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 400 0.155 $62.00 $-6.00 -8.8%
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes 69 0.705 $48.36 $2.46 +5.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 393 0.052 $20.44 $-30.66 -60.0%
Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs Osorio Estevez 20 0.996 $19.91 $0.11 +0.6%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2,000 0.006 $12.00 $-10.00 -45.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 26 0.427 $11.07 $0.71 +6.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 390 0.028 $10.72 $-67.17 -86.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 405 0.023 $9.32 $-4.86 -34.3%