| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,538 |
0.375 |
$576.71 |
$-176.81 |
-23.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
451 |
0.385 |
$173.69 |
$110.53 |
+175.0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,969 |
0.086 |
$168.37 |
$68.92 |
+69.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
307 |
0.512 |
$157.30 |
$-1.04 |
-0.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,478 |
0.065 |
$96.08 |
$-51.74 |
-35.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
589 |
0.160 |
$94.16 |
$14.60 |
+18.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.165 |
$66.00 |
$-2.00 |
-2.9% |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? |
Yes |
69 |
0.720 |
$49.39 |
$3.49 |
+7.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
393 |
0.051 |
$19.85 |
$-31.25 |
-61.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.034 |
$13.25 |
$-64.64 |
-83.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
405 |
0.033 |
$13.17 |
$-1.01 |
-7.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.487 |
$12.62 |
$2.27 |
+21.9% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.005 |
$11.00 |
$-11.00 |
-50.0% |