| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,538 |
0.400 |
$615.15 |
$-138.37 |
-18.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
307 |
0.588 |
$180.47 |
$22.14 |
+14.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
451 |
0.380 |
$171.43 |
$108.27 |
+171.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,969 |
0.086 |
$168.37 |
$68.92 |
+69.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
589 |
0.165 |
$97.10 |
$17.54 |
+22.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
1,478 |
0.065 |
$96.08 |
$-51.74 |
-35.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.155 |
$62.00 |
$-6.00 |
-8.8% |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? |
Yes |
69 |
0.745 |
$51.11 |
$5.21 |
+11.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
393 |
0.056 |
$21.82 |
$-29.29 |
-57.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
405 |
0.030 |
$12.16 |
$-2.03 |
-14.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
390 |
0.031 |
$12.08 |
$-65.81 |
-84.5% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.006 |
$12.00 |
$-10.00 |
-45.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
26 |
0.412 |
$10.67 |
$0.31 |
+3.0% |