| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.715 |
$893.06 |
$677.94 |
+315.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? |
No |
990 |
0.320 |
$316.84 |
$73.56 |
+30.2% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? |
No |
324 |
0.565 |
$182.98 |
$8.07 |
+4.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
176 |
0.963 |
$169.22 |
$2.20 |
+1.3% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
1,092 |
0.155 |
$169.21 |
$6.38 |
+3.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.485 |
$145.50 |
$1.50 |
+1.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.380 |
$114.03 |
$-3.01 |
-2.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
139 |
0.815 |
$113.61 |
$2.78 |
+2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat? |
Yes |
120 |
0.941 |
$113.25 |
$-1.02 |
-0.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.365 |
$109.44 |
$2.07 |
+1.9% |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins |
NC Dinos |
185 |
0.470 |
$86.79 |
$3.69 |
+4.4% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
223 |
0.370 |
$82.51 |
$2.03 |
+2.5% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? |
No |
144 |
0.545 |
$78.75 |
$-0.18 |
-0.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
119 |
0.625 |
$74.47 |
$2.37 |
+3.3% |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.480 |
$72.14 |
$6.47 |
+9.9% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? |
Yes |
826 |
0.080 |
$66.10 |
$-33.05 |
-33.3% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
244 |
0.260 |
$63.42 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
71 |
0.845 |
$59.60 |
$-8.18 |
-12.1% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? |
Yes |
112 |
0.505 |
$56.54 |
$20.92 |
+58.7% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group |
Gen.G |
80 |
0.645 |
$51.60 |
$2.00 |
+4.0% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
80 |
0.644 |
$51.56 |
$7.48 |
+17.0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
49 |
0.910 |
$44.83 |
$0.41 |
+0.9% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
290 |
0.145 |
$42.03 |
$-2.34 |
-5.3% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 3 2026? |
Yes |
55 |
0.745 |
$40.98 |
$22.27 |
+119.1% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
1,020 |
0.035 |
$35.18 |
$9.14 |
+35.1% |