| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,249 |
0.715 |
$893.06 |
$677.94 |
+315.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? |
No |
990 |
0.320 |
$316.84 |
$73.56 |
+30.2% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.05 |
$-37.90 |
-13.2% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? |
No |
324 |
0.565 |
$182.98 |
$8.07 |
+4.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
176 |
0.963 |
$169.22 |
$2.20 |
+1.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.475 |
$142.50 |
$-1.50 |
-1.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.385 |
$115.53 |
$-1.51 |
-1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat? |
Yes |
120 |
0.941 |
$113.25 |
$-1.02 |
-0.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.365 |
$109.44 |
$2.07 |
+1.9% |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins |
NC Dinos |
185 |
0.475 |
$87.71 |
$4.62 |
+5.6% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
223 |
0.370 |
$82.51 |
$2.03 |
+2.5% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05? |
No |
144 |
0.555 |
$80.20 |
$1.27 |
+1.6% |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.480 |
$72.14 |
$6.47 |
+9.9% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
244 |
0.260 |
$63.42 |
$-0.02 |
-0.0% |
| Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? |
Yes |
826 |
0.075 |
$61.97 |
$-37.18 |
-37.5% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? |
Yes |
112 |
0.505 |
$56.54 |
$20.92 |
+58.7% |
| Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
80 |
0.644 |
$51.56 |
$7.48 |
+17.0% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
75 |
0.625 |
$46.63 |
$2.14 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
49 |
0.910 |
$44.83 |
$0.41 |
+0.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 5? |
No |
72 |
0.490 |
$35.30 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? |
Yes |
1,020 |
0.035 |
$35.18 |
$9.14 |
+35.1% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.110 |
$33.00 |
$9.00 |
+37.5% |
| Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? |
Yes |
40 |
0.825 |
$32.98 |
$-0.60 |
-1.8% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
No |
47 |
0.630 |
$29.67 |
$-2.35 |
-7.4% |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
Yes |
1,229 |
0.022 |
$27.03 |
$8.46 |
+45.5% |