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Trader leaderboard/Ondra

Ondra

0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,233
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$179
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
2,693W / 2,210L · 692 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
3,053W / 2,541L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
5,595
across 119 markets · ~47 per market
EV / position
+$26.91
avg win $78 · loss $43
Profit Factor
2.49
$3,732 won / $1,498 lost
Reward / Risk
1.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$232
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $214,236 · all-time $62,645,190

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.7% 6,291W/7,183L 273 $144,906
🏛 Politics 52.9% 623W/555L 55 $20,500
🎬 Culture 52.9% 623W/555L 49 $20,440

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,599 0.021 $176.28 $6.27 +3.7%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 1,959 0.065 $127.37 $-26.86 -17.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 632 0.173 $109.35 $-4.21 -3.7%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 106 1.000 $105.68 $11.21 +11.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 169 0.555 $94.07 $-11.88 -11.2%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,164 0.075 $87.30 $-13.08 -13.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 82 1.000 $81.53 $13.24 +19.4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 78 1.000 $77.66 $4.12 +5.6%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,729 0.040 $68.30 $-24.04 -26.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 80 0.745 $59.82 $-0.05 -0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 61 0.979 $59.72 $4.03 +7.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 233 0.255 $59.32 $-1.94 -3.2%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? Yes 1,314 0.045 $59.14 $-31.80 -35.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 64 0.915 $58.55 $4.26 +7.8%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 672 0.085 $57.11 $5.62 +10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 54 0.994 $53.65 $2.96 +5.8%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 52 1.000 $51.97 $1.29 +2.5%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? Yes 262 0.175 $45.84 $0.03 +0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? No 46 0.980 $45.06 $0.06 +0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 44 0.990 $43.54 $1.14 +2.7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 41 0.998 $40.89 $1.53 +3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 41 0.999 $40.60 $0.70 +1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 46 0.827 $38.04 $-0.93 -2.4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 433 0.085 $36.77 $-15.70 -29.9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 82 0.445 $36.57 $11.68 +46.9%