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Trader leaderboard/Ondra

Ondra

0x849ccb5907938ce8be18ed5dbf583288e2da4009
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,233
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$117
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
2,693W / 2,210L · 454 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
2,913W / 2,443L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
5,357
across 110 markets · ~49 per market
EV / position
+$26.91
avg win $78 · loss $43
Profit Factor
2.49
$3,732 won / $1,498 lost
Reward / Risk
1.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$232
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $206,116 · all-time $62,637,070

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.7% 6,291W/7,167L 270 $143,483
🏛 Politics 52.9% 623W/555L 53 $19,520
🎬 Culture 52.9% 623W/555L 47 $19,460

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

66 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,599 0.021 $176.28 $6.27 +3.7%
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 1,959 0.065 $127.37 $-26.86 -17.4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 109 0.973 $105.91 $24.29 +29.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 106 0.972 $102.77 $8.30 +8.8%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 163 0.545 $88.83 $-17.85 -16.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,164 0.075 $87.30 $-13.08 -13.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 458 0.189 $86.33 $20.38 +30.9%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 78 0.999 $77.58 $4.04 +5.5%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,729 0.041 $70.03 $-22.31 -24.2%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 92 0.735 $67.62 $-1.84 -2.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 61 0.984 $60.02 $4.34 +7.8%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? Yes 1,314 0.045 $59.14 $-31.80 -35.0%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes 672 0.085 $57.11 $5.62 +10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 54 0.996 $53.76 $3.07 +6.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 198 0.265 $52.37 $-1.78 -3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? No 52 1.000 $51.97 $1.29 +2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 50 0.925 $46.24 $4.13 +9.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 44 0.981 $43.16 $0.77 +1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 565 0.075 $42.34 $-26.14 -38.2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 41 0.998 $40.89 $1.53 +3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 41 1.000 $40.64 $0.74 +1.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 46 0.811 $37.33 $-1.64 -4.2%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 80 0.455 $36.48 $15.41 +73.1%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? No 44 0.825 $36.30 $0.40 +1.1%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? No 39 0.930 $36.27 $0.39 +1.1%