PnL (30d)

+$1,808

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$275

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

6,291W / 7,167L · 766 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

6,660W / 7,563L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

14,224

across 270 markets · ~53 per market

EV / position

+$8.22

avg win $61 · loss $50

Profit Factor

1.35

$7,036 won / $5,229 lost

Reward / Risk

1.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,709

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.7% 6,291W/7,167L	270	$143,483
🏛 Politics	52.9% 693W/616L	53	$21,104
🎬 Culture	52.9% 693W/616L	47	$21,043

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

64 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	8,599	0.021	$176.28	$6.27	+3.7%
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	1,959	0.065	$127.37	$-26.86	-17.4%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,164	0.075	$87.30	$-13.08	-13.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	458	0.188	$85.87	$19.93	+30.2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	2,565	0.032	$80.79	$-114.81	-58.7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	78	0.998	$77.50	$3.96	+5.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	126	0.585	$73.71	$-12.25	-14.3%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,729	0.041	$70.90	$-21.45	-23.2%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?	Yes	1,314	0.045	$59.14	$-31.80	-35.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	60	0.969	$57.85	$8.00	+16.1%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	672	0.085	$57.11	$5.62	+10.9%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	56	0.967	$54.03	$23.82	+78.9%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	54	0.994	$53.68	$2.99	+5.9%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	52	1.000	$51.97	$1.29	+2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	50	0.982	$49.08	$3.95	+8.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	198	0.245	$48.42	$-5.73	-10.6%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	565	0.085	$47.99	$-20.50	-29.9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	50	0.915	$45.74	$3.63	+8.6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	1,359	0.034	$45.53	$-159.54	-77.8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	59	0.755	$44.55	$-0.49	-1.1%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	44	0.974	$42.83	$0.44	+1.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	41	0.998	$40.89	$1.53	+3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	41	0.999	$40.60	$0.70	+1.7%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	46	0.812	$37.38	$-1.59	-4.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	80	0.415	$33.27	$12.20	+57.9%