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cripes3

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$41
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
12W / 7L
Trades (30d)
19
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.87
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,238 · all-time $23,062,406

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 21.3% 37W/137L 64 $46,373
💵 Economy 6 $1,335
₿ Crypto 2 $400
🏛 Politics 1 $3,750

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

118 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 10,635 0.855 $9,093.31 $3,586.31 +65.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10,000 0.835 $8,350.01 $990.01 +13.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 5,000 0.981 $4,902.50 $472.50 +10.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 5,000 0.875 $4,375.00 $1,815.00 +70.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 7,453 0.540 $4,024.66 $-1,438.78 -26.3%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No 5,000 0.645 $3,224.99 $-64.98 -2.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No 3,482 0.895 $3,116.04 $-147.66 -4.5%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 3,500 0.792 $2,772.00 $-365.99 -11.7%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 6,002 0.435 $2,610.87 $-2,250.75 -46.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 3,000 0.853 $2,557.50 $844.50 +49.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 3,411 0.645 $2,200.22 $-550.95 -20.0%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 1,898 0.880 $1,670.47 $436.60 +35.4%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 2,000 0.835 $1,670.02 $500.01 +42.7%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No 1,622 0.925 $1,500.66 $154.12 +11.4%
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch No 1,500 0.935 $1,402.50 $7.50 +0.5%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No 1,500 0.910 $1,364.97 $30.00 +2.2%
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch No 1,400 0.823 $1,151.50 $-122.50 -9.6%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? No 924 0.994 $918.46 $419.50 +84.1%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 1,000 0.845 $845.00 $-55.00 -6.1%
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 1,144 0.670 $766.48 $-233.12 -23.3%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 800 0.870 $696.00 $-63.20 -8.3%
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce? No 700 0.994 $695.80 $163.80 +30.8%
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch Yes 1,282 0.435 $557.87 $-255.95 -31.5%
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? No 940 0.465 $437.05 $-117.49 -21.2%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? No 400 0.993 $397.20 $25.20 +6.8%