Log in
Trader leaderboard/cripes3

cripes3

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a
PnL (30d)
+$912
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,984
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
37W / 137L · 117 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
88W / 163L · 40 open
Trades (30d)
291
across 64 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$25.33
avg win $446 · loss $160
Profit Factor
1.23
$4,903 won / $3,991 lost
Reward / Risk
2.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,238 · all-time $23,059,406

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 21.3% 37W/137L 64 $46,373
💵 Economy 6 $1,335
₿ Crypto 2 $400
🏛 Politics 1 $3,750

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

117 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 10,635 0.855 $9,093.31 $3,586.31 +65.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 10,000 0.835 $8,350.01 $990.01 +13.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 5,000 0.981 $4,902.50 $472.50 +10.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 5,000 0.915 $4,575.00 $2,015.00 +78.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 7,453 0.540 $4,024.66 $-1,438.78 -26.3%
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No 5,000 0.645 $3,224.99 $-64.98 -2.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? No 3,482 0.895 $3,116.04 $-147.66 -4.5%
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 3,500 0.792 $2,772.00 $-365.99 -11.7%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No 6,002 0.435 $2,610.87 $-2,250.75 -46.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 3,000 0.850 $2,548.50 $835.50 +48.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 3,411 0.645 $2,200.22 $-550.95 -20.0%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 1,898 0.880 $1,670.47 $436.60 +35.4%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 2,000 0.830 $1,660.02 $490.01 +41.9%
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No 1,622 0.925 $1,500.66 $154.12 +11.4%
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch No 1,500 0.935 $1,403.25 $8.25 +0.6%
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No 1,500 0.910 $1,364.97 $30.00 +2.2%
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch No 1,400 0.814 $1,139.46 $-134.54 -10.6%
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? No 924 0.994 $918.46 $419.50 +84.1%
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? No 1,000 0.845 $845.00 $-55.00 -6.1%
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 1,144 0.675 $772.20 $-227.40 -22.7%
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce? No 700 0.995 $696.15 $164.15 +30.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 800 0.870 $696.00 $-63.20 -8.3%
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch Yes 1,282 0.435 $557.87 $-255.95 -31.5%
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? No 940 0.435 $408.86 $-145.69 -26.3%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANAI? No 400 0.993 $397.20 $25.20 +6.8%