PnL (30d)

+$102

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

239W / 144L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

241W / 144L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

394

across 86 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$1.26

avg win $44 · loss $57

Profit Factor

1.05

$2,045 won / $1,943 lost

Reward / Risk

0.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$88

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.9% 380W/382L	199	$28,394
🏛 Politics	62.2% 51W/31L	26	$2,677
🎬 Culture	62.2% 51W/31L	26	$2,694
⚽ Sports	82.4% 28W/6L	12	$1,335
💵 Economy	80.0% 20W/5L	5	$861

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	José Montanha	40	0.385	$15.41	$-0.15	-1.0%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?	No	20	0.595	$11.89	$0.50	+4.4%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	100	0.095	$9.50	$2.50	+35.7%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	20	0.395	$7.90	$7.30	+1216.7%
Will Trump say "No No No" in August?	No	48	0.105	$5.05	$-1.20	-19.2%
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	Yes	54	0.082	$4.37	$-19.43	-81.6%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	30	0.115	$3.45	$-1.35	-28.1%
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?	No	50	0.034	$1.70	$1.50	+750.0%
Will Trump say "Shit" in August?	No	3	0.115	$0.37	$0.27	+283.3%
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	20	0.000	$0.00	$-7.20	-100.0%