PnL (30d)

−$152

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-7.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

94W / 118L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

100W / 125L

Trades (30d)

225

across 64 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.62

avg win $26 · loss $22

Profit Factor

0.80

$602 won / $754 lost

Reward / Risk

1.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$332

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.8% 380W/383L	202	$28,490
🏛 Politics	61.4% 51W/32L	28	$2,694
🎬 Culture	61.4% 51W/32L	28	$2,712
⚽ Sports	82.4% 28W/6L	13	$1,401
💵 Economy	80.0% 20W/5L	5	$861

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	100	0.325	$32.50	$15.50	+91.2%
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. José Montanha (Heavyweight, Prelims)	José Montanha	37	0.385	$14.42	$-0.14	-1.0%
Will Trump say "Gay" in August?	No	20	0.635	$12.69	$1.30	+11.4%
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	100	0.090	$9.00	$2.00	+28.6%
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?	No	20	0.405	$8.10	$7.50	+1250.0%
Will Trump say "No No No" in August?	No	48	0.105	$5.05	$-1.20	-19.2%
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?	Yes	54	0.079	$4.21	$-19.59	-82.3%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	30	0.110	$3.30	$-1.50	-31.2%
Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?	No	50	0.033	$1.65	$1.45	+725.0%
Will Trump say "Shit" in August?	No	3	0.135	$0.43	$0.34	+349.9%
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	20	0.000	$0.00	$-7.20	-100.0%