Lisbon
0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$220
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
87%
130W / 20L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
130W / 20L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
152
across 19 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
+$12.20
avg win $16 · loss $54
Profit Factor
5.08
$273 won / $54 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50,370 · all-time $3,357,777
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
52,679 |
0.883 |
$46,541.57 |
$20,202.25 |
+76.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
52,679 |
0.117 |
$6,137.06 |
$-20,202.25 |
-76.7% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.944 |
$4,717.50 |
$-7.83 |
-0.2% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? |
No |
3,270 |
0.977 |
$3,194.79 |
$176.39 |
+5.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.988 |
$2,962.50 |
$-1.45 |
-0.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,971 |
0.209 |
$1,460.41 |
$-226.51 |
-13.4% |
| Joe Burrow traded to the Jets? |
No |
1,252 |
0.994 |
$1,244.72 |
$2.10 |
+0.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
412 |
0.963 |
$396.55 |
$1.03 |
+0.3% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
353 |
0.976 |
$344.53 |
$12.36 |
+3.7% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
326 |
0.954 |
$310.84 |
$11.57 |
+3.9% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
10 |
0.974 |
$9.73 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.955 |
$0.96 |
$0.22 |
+29.0% |