Lisbon
0x8055ae09bfeeac2f46dffe254cc1868f2df444c4
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$140
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+4.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
6W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
6W / 0L
Trades (30d)
6
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$46.60
avg win $47
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,370 · all-time $3,353,777
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
52,679 |
0.883 |
$46,541.57 |
$20,202.25 |
+76.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
52,679 |
0.117 |
$6,137.06 |
$-20,202.25 |
-76.7% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? |
No |
3,270 |
0.973 |
$3,180.07 |
$161.68 |
+5.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.988 |
$2,962.50 |
$-1.45 |
-0.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
6,971 |
0.209 |
$1,460.41 |
$-226.51 |
-13.4% |
| Joe Burrow traded to the Jets? |
No |
1,252 |
0.994 |
$1,244.72 |
$2.10 |
+0.2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.942 |
$941.50 |
$-4.50 |
-0.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
412 |
0.963 |
$396.55 |
$1.03 |
+0.3% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
No |
353 |
0.978 |
$345.06 |
$12.88 |
+3.9% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
326 |
0.954 |
$310.84 |
$11.57 |
+3.9% |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
No |
10 |
0.974 |
$9.73 |
$0.00 |
+0.1% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.954 |
$0.96 |
$0.21 |
+28.8% |