PnL (30d)

+$494

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$279

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

176W / 20L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

185W / 45L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

236

across 59 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$10.50

avg win $12 · loss $54

Profit Factor

10.16

$547 won / $54 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	89.8% 176W/20L	59	$339,238
🏛 Politics	100.0% 8W/0L	9	$88,306
💵 Economy	100.0% 5W/0L	3	$74,895
⚽ Sports	100.0% 3W/0L	3	$195
🎬 Culture	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$148
₿ Crypto	—	1	$946

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	52,679	0.883	$46,541.57	$20,202.25	+76.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	52,679	0.117	$6,137.06	$-20,202.25	-76.7%
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	3,270	0.973	$3,180.07	$161.68	+5.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	3,000	0.988	$2,962.50	$-1.45	-0.0%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6,971	0.209	$1,460.41	$-226.51	-13.4%
Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?	No	1,252	0.994	$1,244.72	$2.10	+0.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	1,000	0.942	$941.50	$-4.50	-0.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	412	0.963	$396.55	$1.03	+0.3%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	353	0.978	$345.06	$12.88	+3.9%
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	326	0.954	$310.84	$11.57	+3.9%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	10	0.974	$9.73	$0.00	+0.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	1	0.952	$0.95	$0.21	+28.6%