| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,750 |
0.845 |
$4,013.76 |
$282.52 |
+7.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,553 |
0.978 |
$2,495.29 |
$93.39 |
+3.9% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
2,535 |
0.904 |
$2,291.95 |
$119.18 |
+5.5% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
1,988 |
0.915 |
$1,820.37 |
$100.66 |
+5.9% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,800 |
0.926 |
$1,667.72 |
$40.81 |
+2.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,900 |
0.745 |
$1,415.47 |
$335.66 |
+31.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,736 |
0.461 |
$1,259.91 |
$-387.90 |
-23.5% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
1,272 |
0.906 |
$1,152.05 |
$104.92 |
+10.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.601 |
$1,080.90 |
$-310.09 |
-22.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,100 |
0.973 |
$1,070.30 |
$12.10 |
+1.1% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.993 |
$992.50 |
$5.50 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.825 |
$907.50 |
$-11.50 |
-1.3% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
900 |
0.970 |
$872.54 |
$-4.35 |
-0.5% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
900 |
0.915 |
$823.52 |
$-2.50 |
-0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.905 |
$814.49 |
$113.61 |
+16.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
831 |
0.975 |
$810.05 |
$26.55 |
+3.4% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
975 |
0.785 |
$765.24 |
$157.16 |
+25.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
981 |
0.750 |
$735.73 |
$-42.79 |
-5.5% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
815 |
0.885 |
$720.98 |
$153.80 |
+27.1% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
742 |
0.925 |
$686.30 |
$107.52 |
+18.6% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
695 |
0.970 |
$674.18 |
$9.69 |
+1.5% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
754 |
0.875 |
$660.04 |
$175.01 |
+36.1% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
707 |
0.930 |
$657.07 |
$3.95 |
+0.6% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
737 |
0.889 |
$655.26 |
$27.87 |
+4.4% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.895 |
$626.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.7% |