| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,750 |
0.845 |
$4,013.76 |
$282.52 |
+7.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,553 |
0.980 |
$2,501.67 |
$99.77 |
+4.2% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
2,535 |
0.904 |
$2,291.95 |
$119.18 |
+5.5% |
| Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
2,100 |
0.954 |
$2,003.39 |
$-18.89 |
-0.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
1,988 |
0.915 |
$1,820.37 |
$100.66 |
+5.9% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,800 |
0.926 |
$1,667.72 |
$40.81 |
+2.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,900 |
0.745 |
$1,415.47 |
$335.66 |
+31.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,936 |
0.445 |
$1,306.51 |
$-429.70 |
-24.7% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
1,272 |
0.908 |
$1,155.23 |
$108.10 |
+10.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,100 |
0.977 |
$1,074.15 |
$15.95 |
+1.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,800 |
0.569 |
$1,023.30 |
$-367.69 |
-26.4% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.993 |
$992.50 |
$5.50 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.825 |
$907.50 |
$-11.50 |
-1.3% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
900 |
0.915 |
$823.52 |
$-2.50 |
-0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.905 |
$814.49 |
$113.61 |
+16.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
831 |
0.980 |
$814.21 |
$30.71 |
+3.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
981 |
0.755 |
$740.64 |
$-37.88 |
-4.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
927 |
0.785 |
$728.01 |
$149.51 |
+25.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
815 |
0.885 |
$720.98 |
$153.80 |
+27.1% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
742 |
0.925 |
$686.30 |
$107.52 |
+18.6% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
695 |
0.970 |
$674.18 |
$9.69 |
+1.5% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
754 |
0.875 |
$660.04 |
$175.01 |
+36.1% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
707 |
0.930 |
$657.07 |
$3.95 |
+0.6% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
737 |
0.881 |
$649.37 |
$21.98 |
+3.5% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.895 |
$626.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.7% |