| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,750 |
0.835 |
$3,966.26 |
$235.02 |
+6.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,553 |
0.982 |
$2,505.50 |
$103.60 |
+4.3% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
2,548 |
0.903 |
$2,302.43 |
$118.52 |
+5.4% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? |
No |
1,988 |
0.915 |
$1,820.37 |
$100.66 |
+5.9% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
No |
1,800 |
0.924 |
$1,664.12 |
$37.21 |
+2.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
1,900 |
0.745 |
$1,415.47 |
$335.66 |
+31.1% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
2,736 |
0.461 |
$1,259.91 |
$-387.90 |
-23.5% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
1,272 |
0.907 |
$1,153.32 |
$106.19 |
+10.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,100 |
0.969 |
$1,065.35 |
$7.15 |
+0.7% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.993 |
$992.50 |
$5.50 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,100 |
0.835 |
$918.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.536 |
$857.60 |
$-439.60 |
-33.9% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
No |
900 |
0.915 |
$823.52 |
$-2.50 |
-0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.905 |
$814.49 |
$113.61 |
+16.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
831 |
0.976 |
$811.30 |
$27.80 |
+3.5% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
975 |
0.785 |
$765.24 |
$157.16 |
+25.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
981 |
0.750 |
$735.73 |
$-42.79 |
-5.5% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
815 |
0.885 |
$720.98 |
$153.80 |
+27.1% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
742 |
0.925 |
$686.30 |
$107.52 |
+18.6% |
| China coup attempt before 2027? |
No |
695 |
0.970 |
$674.18 |
$9.69 |
+1.5% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
754 |
0.875 |
$660.04 |
$175.01 |
+36.1% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
707 |
0.930 |
$657.42 |
$4.30 |
+0.7% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
737 |
0.889 |
$655.26 |
$27.87 |
+4.4% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.895 |
$626.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
900 |
0.695 |
$625.41 |
$-19.59 |
-3.0% |