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Trader leaderboard/godblessme2026

godblessme2026

0x7dcf235766e6b09c8869468a75d5495cf171a7bd
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$376
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$97
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
1,707W / 134L · 275 open
Win Return (30d)
91%
1,853W / 182L · 81 open
Trades (30d)
2,116
across 1,015 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.42
avg win $2 · loss $21
Profit Factor
1.25
$1,906 won / $1,530 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$257
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $103,683 · all-time $2,436,179

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 86.3% 9,060W/1,443L 6133 $432,517
🌤 Weather 96.2% 807W/32L 428 $14,002
🏛 Politics 64.6% 128W/70L 270 $12,588
⚽ Sports 81.0% 47W/11L 244 $17,954
🎬 Culture 81.2% 117W/27L 178 $7,188
💵 Economy 83.3% 25W/5L 72 $4,725
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 27 $314
₿ Crypto 100.0% 3W/0L 10 $239
🔬 Science 9 $147

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%? No 40 0.991 $39.64 $39.64 +0.0%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.7% and 2.9%? No 40 0.991 $39.62 $39.62 +0.0%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be less than or equal to 1.1%? No 40 0.989 $39.54 $39.54 +0.0%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be at least 3.0%? No 40 0.988 $39.52 $-0.40 -1.0%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.4%? No 40 0.983 $39.32 $-0.60 -1.5%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%? No 40 0.865 $34.60 $0.50 +1.5%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%? No 40 0.770 $30.80 $30.80 +0.0%
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 45 0.350 $15.75 $14.34 +1020.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes 55 0.285 $15.67 $13.38 +583.8%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout? Yes 30 0.505 $15.15 $13.28 +708.0%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout? Yes 30 0.478 $14.34 $12.46 +664.8%
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%? No 40 0.345 $13.80 $13.80 +0.0%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Michael Morales in his next UFC bout? Yes 30 0.458 $13.74 $11.87 +632.8%
Will MiniMax have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 35 0.302 $10.57 $9.48 +866.4%
Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 45 0.145 $6.52 $5.12 +364.0%
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 45 0.136 $6.12 $4.71 +335.2%
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? Yes 24 0.225 $5.47 $5.10 +1385.0%
Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 45 0.110 $4.95 $3.54 +252.0%
Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028? Yes 24 0.185 $4.50 $4.13 +1121.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.985 $4.33 $3.93 +983.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 4 1.000 $4.24 $3.85 +999.4%
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? Yes 24 0.155 $3.77 $3.40 +923.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 4 0.915 $3.58 $3.45 +2644.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? Yes 4 0.990 $3.50 $3.18 +988.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $124-$126 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 60 0.053 $3.24 $-2.26 -41.1%