PnL (30d)

−$49

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$18

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

329W / 77L · 97 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

378W / 124L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

503

across 117 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.76

avg win $5 · loss $39

Profit Factor

0.84

$260 won / $309 lost

Reward / Risk

0.12

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	86.3% 9,060W/1,443L	6133	$432,517
🌤 Weather	96.2% 807W/32L	428	$14,002
🏛 Politics	64.6% 128W/70L	270	$12,588
⚽ Sports	81.0% 47W/11L	244	$17,954
🎬 Culture	81.2% 117W/27L	178	$7,188
💵 Economy	83.3% 25W/5L	72	$4,725
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	27	$314
₿ Crypto	100.0% 3W/0L	10	$239
🔬 Science	—	9	$147

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.360	$16.20	$14.79	+1052.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	55	0.285	$15.67	$13.38	+583.8%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?	Yes	30	0.505	$15.15	$13.28	+708.0%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Carlos Prates in his next UFC bout?	Yes	30	0.479	$14.38	$12.51	+667.2%
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Michael Morales in his next UFC bout?	Yes	30	0.459	$13.76	$11.88	+633.6%
Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.270	$12.15	$10.74	+764.0%
Will MiniMax have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	35	0.234	$8.17	$7.08	+647.2%
Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.166	$7.45	$6.04	+429.6%
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	24	0.225	$5.47	$5.10	+1385.0%
Will ByteDance have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.115	$5.15	$3.75	+266.4%
Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	24	0.185	$4.50	$4.13	+1121.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $122-$124 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	60	0.073	$4.45	$-1.05	-19.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.975	$4.29	$3.89	+972.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	4	1.000	$4.24	$3.85	+999.4%
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	Yes	24	0.155	$3.77	$3.40	+923.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	4	0.915	$3.58	$3.45	+2644.9%
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $124-$126 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	60	0.059	$3.54	$-1.96	-35.6%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	4	0.995	$3.52	$3.20	+993.9%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	3	0.956	$3.05	$2.95	+3053.1%
Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?	Yes	3	0.971	$3.04	$2.95	+3296.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	4	0.675	$3.00	$2.87	+2195.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	3	0.993	$2.94	$2.45	+495.8%
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	3	0.977	$2.84	$2.75	+3124.0%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	3	0.850	$2.80	$2.66	+2025.0%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	5	0.570	$2.68	$2.43	+982.8%