PnL (30d)

+$137

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+12.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

20W / 42L · 48 open

Win Return (30d)

26%

28W / 78L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

110

across 33 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$6.23

avg win $51 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.81

$307 won / $169 lost

Reward / Risk

4.82

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.6% 103W/213L	113	$7,397
⚽ Sports	—	5	$248
₿ Crypto	47.1% 8W/9L	2	$300
💵 Economy	47.1% 8W/9L	2	$300
🏛 Politics	90.9% 10W/1L	2	$935
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$70

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	150	0.205	$30.75	$2.25	+7.9%
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	155	0.175	$27.10	$-5.42	-16.7%
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes	145	0.101	$14.63	$0.87	+6.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	500	0.013	$6.75	$-15.75	-70.0%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	200	0.013	$2.70	$-7.70	-74.0%