SpilledWater
0x7babd217c09df3a015e9a98325043190beaa8322
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
2W / 12L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
4W / 12L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
20
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.59
avg win $79 · loss $12
Profit Factor
1.06
$79 won / $75 lost
Reward / Risk
6.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,570 · all-time $291,120
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
150 |
0.205 |
$30.75 |
$2.25 |
+7.9% |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
155 |
0.175 |
$27.10 |
$-5.42 |
-16.7% |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
145 |
0.101 |
$14.63 |
$0.87 |
+6.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.013 |
$6.75 |
$-15.75 |
-70.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.013 |
$2.70 |
$-7.70 |
-74.0% |