SpilledWater
0x7babd217c09df3a015e9a98325043190beaa8322
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$71
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+36.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
15W / 9L
Win Return (30d)
62%
15W / 9L
Trades (30d)
24
across 4 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$17.82
avg win $36 · loss $35
Profit Factor
3.02
$107 won / $35 lost
Reward / Risk
1.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,570 · all-time $291,120
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
150 |
0.205 |
$30.75 |
$2.25 |
+7.9% |
| Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
155 |
0.180 |
$27.87 |
$-4.65 |
-14.3% |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? |
Yes |
145 |
0.101 |
$14.63 |
$0.87 |
+6.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.013 |
$6.50 |
$-16.00 |
-71.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
200 |
0.013 |
$2.70 |
$-7.70 |
-74.0% |