| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
2,600 |
0.285 |
$740.73 |
$-448.24 |
-37.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
430 |
0.375 |
$161.23 |
$118.64 |
+278.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
903 |
0.150 |
$135.88 |
$-13.56 |
-9.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
640 |
0.210 |
$134.34 |
$-41.35 |
-23.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.155 |
$124.00 |
$-68.00 |
-35.4% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
350 |
0.305 |
$106.99 |
$8.47 |
+8.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
1,104 |
0.095 |
$104.90 |
$5.52 |
+5.6% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31? |
Yes |
974 |
0.105 |
$102.27 |
$34.09 |
+50.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
No |
688 |
0.125 |
$85.95 |
$-56.57 |
-39.7% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
388 |
0.210 |
$81.56 |
$29.53 |
+56.8% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
700 |
0.100 |
$70.01 |
$-42.01 |
-37.5% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
232 |
0.277 |
$64.05 |
$22.12 |
+52.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.320 |
$64.00 |
$-8.00 |
-11.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? |
Yes |
426 |
0.135 |
$57.52 |
$-146.90 |
-71.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.280 |
$56.00 |
$-49.00 |
-46.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
Yes |
393 |
0.138 |
$54.24 |
$-11.26 |
-17.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
300 |
0.180 |
$54.00 |
$9.00 |
+20.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
784 |
0.060 |
$47.07 |
$-82.35 |
-63.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
400 |
0.115 |
$46.00 |
$-26.00 |
-36.1% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
Yes |
763 |
0.060 |
$45.80 |
$-64.34 |
-58.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.037 |
$45.00 |
$-39.00 |
-46.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
200 |
0.215 |
$43.00 |
$-37.00 |
-46.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
489 |
0.080 |
$39.09 |
$-33.98 |
-46.5% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.090 |
$36.00 |
$-12.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.013 |
$33.75 |
$-25.75 |
-43.3% |