PnL (30d)

+$5

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

57W / 91L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

62W / 92L

Trades (30d)

154

across 53 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.10

avg win $6 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.05

$110 won / $105 lost

Reward / Risk

1.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.4% 130W/144L	101	$1,015
🏛 Politics	59.1% 13W/9L	15	$86
🎬 Culture	59.1% 13W/9L	15	$86

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	25	0.265	$6.62	$1.62	+32.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	11	0.490	$5.33	$0.33	+6.5%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.580	$1.84	$-0.16	-7.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	62	0.028	$1.75	$-0.25	-12.5%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.480	$1.66	$0.66	+65.5%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.110	$1.65	$1.32	+400.0%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2	0.445	$1.01	$0.01	+1.1%