PnL (30d)

+$5

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$6

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

57W / 91L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

66W / 92L

Trades (30d)

158

across 55 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.10

avg win $6 · loss $4

Profit Factor

1.05

$110 won / $105 lost

Reward / Risk

1.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.4% 130W/144L	104	$1,025
🏛 Politics	59.1% 13W/9L	17	$94
🎬 Culture	59.1% 13W/9L	17	$94

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	25	0.265	$6.62	$1.62	+32.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	11	0.580	$6.30	$1.30	+26.1%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.590	$1.87	$-0.13	-6.3%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.455	$1.57	$0.57	+56.9%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2	0.680	$1.21	$0.21	+21.4%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2	0.510	$1.16	$0.16	+15.9%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	62	0.015	$0.91	$-1.09	-54.7%