PnL (30d)

+$64

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+13.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

130W / 144L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

134W / 147L

Trades (30d)

281

across 101 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$0.68

avg win $5 · loss $3

Profit Factor

1.43

$216 won / $151 lost

Reward / Risk

1.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$14

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.4% 130W/144L	101	$1,015
🏛 Politics	59.1% 13W/9L	15	$86
🎬 Culture	59.1% 13W/9L	15	$86

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	25	0.245	$6.12	$1.12	+22.5%
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	11	0.450	$4.89	$-0.11	-2.2%
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.160	$2.40	$2.07	+627.3%
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.580	$1.84	$-0.16	-7.9%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3	0.475	$1.64	$0.64	+63.8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	62	0.025	$1.59	$-0.41	-20.6%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2	0.470	$1.07	$0.07	+6.8%