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Trader leaderboard/0x74F547ceDA9abe5ae243B8488BAb60E094228cDF-1778393869405

0x74F547ceDA9abe5ae243B8488BAb60E094228cDF-1778393869405

0x74f547ceda9abe5ae243b8488bab60e094228cdf
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$22
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
40%
4W / 6L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
10W / 13L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
28
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$7.45
avg win $7 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.24
$7 won / $29 lost
Reward / Risk
0.48
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $280 · all-time $8,272

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.0% 22W/9L 29 $973
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/3L 7 $209
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $27

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 110 0.987 $108.52 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 100 0.675 $67.50 $8.30 +14.0%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $6.47 +14.9%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 50 0.980 $48.98 $-0.12 -0.3%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 46 0.970 $44.97 $0.46 +1.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 200 0.175 $35.00 $8.50 +32.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 30 1.000 $29.98 $0.80 +2.7%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 101 0.260 $26.33 $-23.57 -47.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 30 0.845 $25.35 $1.95 +8.3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 35 0.685 $23.98 $0.42 +1.8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 26 0.865 $22.64 $0.84 +3.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 20 1.000 $19.99 $2.39 +13.6%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 20 0.984 $19.68 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50 0.271 $13.53 $0.22 +1.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 10 0.987 $9.87 $0.12 +1.3%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 10 0.977 $9.77 $0.07 +0.7%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 10 0.954 $9.54 $0.16 +1.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 10 0.865 $8.65 $-0.05 -0.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.038 $5.70 $-2.80 -32.9%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-4.25 -47.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10 0.117 $1.17 $-0.27 -19.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 50 0.020 $1.00 $-3.50 -77.8%