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Trader leaderboard/0x74F547ceDA9abe5ae243B8488BAb60E094228cDF-1778393869405

0x74F547ceDA9abe5ae243B8488BAb60E094228cDF-1778393869405

0x74f547ceda9abe5ae243b8488bab60e094228cdf
PnL (30d)
+$41
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+5.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
71%
22W / 9L · 28 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
32W / 27L
Trades (30d)
59
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.94
avg win $11 · loss $11
Profit Factor
1.73
$98 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$31
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $8,252

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 71.0% 22W/9L 29 $973
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 9 $238
💵 Economy 33.3% 1W/2L 2 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 110 0.987 $108.52 $-0.01 -0.0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 100 0.675 $67.50 $8.30 +14.0%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 50 0.980 $48.98 $-0.12 -0.3%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 50 0.954 $47.67 $4.17 +9.6%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No 46 0.971 $44.99 $0.49 +1.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 200 0.165 $33.00 $6.50 +24.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 30 0.997 $29.89 $0.70 +2.4%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 101 0.265 $26.84 $-23.06 -46.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 30 0.835 $25.05 $1.65 +7.1%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 35 0.680 $23.80 $0.25 +1.1%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 26 0.865 $22.64 $0.84 +3.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 20 0.945 $18.90 $1.30 +7.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 50 0.261 $13.03 $-0.28 -2.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 10 0.987 $9.87 $0.12 +1.3%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 10 0.975 $9.75 $0.05 +0.5%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 10 0.954 $9.54 $0.15 +1.7%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 10 0.875 $8.75 $0.05 +0.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 150 0.042 $6.22 $-2.27 -26.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-4.25 -47.2%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10 0.117 $1.17 $-0.27 -19.1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 50 0.018 $0.93 $-3.58 -79.4%