| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
110 |
0.987 |
$108.52 |
$-0.01 |
-0.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.50 |
$8.30 |
+14.0% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
50 |
0.981 |
$49.02 |
$-0.07 |
-0.2% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
50 |
0.980 |
$48.98 |
$5.47 |
+12.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
46 |
0.970 |
$44.97 |
$0.46 |
+1.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.165 |
$33.00 |
$6.50 |
+24.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
30 |
0.998 |
$29.93 |
$0.73 |
+2.5% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
101 |
0.260 |
$26.33 |
$-23.57 |
-47.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
30 |
0.845 |
$25.35 |
$1.95 |
+8.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
35 |
0.685 |
$23.98 |
$0.42 |
+1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
26 |
0.865 |
$22.64 |
$0.84 |
+3.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
20 |
0.979 |
$19.57 |
$1.97 |
+11.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
50 |
0.261 |
$13.03 |
$-0.28 |
-2.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.987 |
$9.87 |
$0.12 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
10 |
0.976 |
$9.76 |
$0.06 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
10 |
0.954 |
$9.54 |
$0.15 |
+1.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$8.75 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.037 |
$5.55 |
$-2.95 |
-34.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.095 |
$4.75 |
$-4.25 |
-47.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.117 |
$1.17 |
$-0.27 |
-19.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.021 |
$1.07 |
$-3.43 |
-76.2% |