| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.775 |
$3.88 |
$0.02 |
+0.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.600 |
$3.00 |
$0.50 |
+20.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.745 |
$1.97 |
$0.30 |
+18.1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.225 |
$1.12 |
$-0.38 |
-25.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
5 |
0.160 |
$0.80 |
$-1.70 |
-68.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.255 |
$0.68 |
$-0.65 |
-49.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.135 |
$0.68 |
$-1.82 |
-73.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.105 |
$0.53 |
$-1.23 |
-70.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
5 |
0.065 |
$0.32 |
$-0.16 |
-33.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
Yes |
5 |
0.050 |
$0.25 |
$-2.25 |
-90.0% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.029 |
$0.14 |
$-2.35 |
-94.2% |