| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
800 |
0.985 |
$787.60 |
$659.60 |
+515.3% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
No |
828 |
0.855 |
$707.72 |
$580.63 |
+456.9% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
872 |
0.785 |
$684.74 |
$432.82 |
+171.8% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
798 |
0.820 |
$654.74 |
$431.17 |
+192.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.805 |
$644.00 |
$516.00 |
+403.1% |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,170 |
0.530 |
$620.10 |
$453.96 |
+273.2% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.665 |
$558.60 |
$409.40 |
+274.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
730 |
0.765 |
$558.45 |
$448.95 |
+410.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.845 |
$468.98 |
$58.27 |
+14.2% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.740 |
$431.42 |
$291.50 |
+208.3% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
708 |
0.480 |
$339.70 |
$246.69 |
+265.2% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
481 |
0.645 |
$310.25 |
$204.43 |
+193.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
846 |
0.365 |
$308.68 |
$205.57 |
+199.4% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
310 |
0.982 |
$304.87 |
$183.17 |
+150.5% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Detroit Tigers |
538 |
0.560 |
$301.40 |
$285.25 |
+1766.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
840 |
0.356 |
$299.52 |
$274.24 |
+1084.7% |
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.978 |
$293.40 |
$3.80 |
+1.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
300 |
0.970 |
$290.85 |
$159.85 |
+122.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,199 |
0.235 |
$281.87 |
$75.96 |
+36.9% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 |
Under |
412 |
0.660 |
$271.92 |
$203.28 |
+296.2% |
| Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
803 |
0.330 |
$265.11 |
$88.27 |
+49.9% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
264 |
0.995 |
$262.60 |
$7.11 |
+2.8% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
414 |
0.625 |
$258.92 |
$180.14 |
+228.7% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
255 |
0.995 |
$253.60 |
$147.49 |
+139.0% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? |
No |
514 |
0.482 |
$247.79 |
$200.43 |
+423.2% |