| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
800 |
0.985 |
$787.60 |
$659.60 |
+515.3% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
No |
828 |
0.850 |
$703.58 |
$576.49 |
+453.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.845 |
$676.00 |
$548.00 |
+428.1% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
872 |
0.760 |
$662.93 |
$411.01 |
+163.1% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
798 |
0.825 |
$658.73 |
$435.16 |
+194.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.665 |
$558.60 |
$409.40 |
+274.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
730 |
0.765 |
$558.45 |
$448.95 |
+410.0% |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,170 |
0.475 |
$555.75 |
$389.61 |
+234.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.845 |
$468.98 |
$58.27 |
+14.2% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.735 |
$428.50 |
$288.58 |
+206.2% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
806 |
0.415 |
$334.37 |
$236.14 |
+240.4% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
481 |
0.645 |
$310.25 |
$204.43 |
+193.2% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
708 |
0.435 |
$307.85 |
$214.84 |
+231.0% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
310 |
0.982 |
$304.87 |
$183.17 |
+150.5% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Detroit Tigers |
538 |
0.560 |
$301.40 |
$285.25 |
+1766.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
840 |
0.353 |
$297.00 |
$271.72 |
+1074.8% |
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.978 |
$293.40 |
$3.80 |
+1.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
300 |
0.969 |
$290.55 |
$159.55 |
+121.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,199 |
0.235 |
$281.87 |
$75.96 |
+36.9% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 |
Under |
412 |
0.660 |
$271.92 |
$203.28 |
+296.2% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
264 |
0.995 |
$262.60 |
$7.11 |
+2.8% |
| Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
803 |
0.320 |
$257.07 |
$80.23 |
+45.4% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
414 |
0.619 |
$256.06 |
$177.28 |
+225.0% |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? |
No |
255 |
0.996 |
$253.85 |
$147.74 |
+139.2% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? |
No |
514 |
0.482 |
$247.79 |
$200.43 |
+423.2% |