| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
Yes |
800 |
0.985 |
$787.60 |
$659.60 |
+515.3% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? |
No |
828 |
0.855 |
$707.72 |
$580.63 |
+456.9% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
872 |
0.775 |
$676.02 |
$424.09 |
+168.3% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
798 |
0.820 |
$654.74 |
$431.17 |
+192.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
800 |
0.785 |
$628.00 |
$500.00 |
+390.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
840 |
0.675 |
$567.00 |
$417.80 |
+280.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
730 |
0.765 |
$558.45 |
$448.95 |
+410.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
555 |
0.845 |
$468.98 |
$58.27 |
+14.2% |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,170 |
0.375 |
$438.75 |
$272.61 |
+164.1% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? |
No |
583 |
0.740 |
$431.42 |
$291.50 |
+208.3% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
708 |
0.485 |
$343.23 |
$250.22 |
+269.0% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
481 |
0.665 |
$319.87 |
$214.04 |
+202.3% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
846 |
0.375 |
$317.14 |
$214.03 |
+207.6% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
No |
310 |
0.986 |
$305.95 |
$184.25 |
+151.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
840 |
0.357 |
$299.94 |
$274.66 |
+1086.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 4? |
Yes |
299 |
1.000 |
$299.01 |
$290.60 |
+3453.4% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Detroit Tigers |
538 |
0.555 |
$298.71 |
$282.56 |
+1750.0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.977 |
$293.10 |
$3.50 |
+1.2% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
300 |
0.971 |
$291.15 |
$160.15 |
+122.3% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 |
Under |
412 |
0.665 |
$273.98 |
$205.34 |
+299.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,199 |
0.225 |
$269.87 |
$63.96 |
+31.1% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
264 |
0.994 |
$262.47 |
$6.98 |
+2.7% |
| Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
Yes |
803 |
0.325 |
$261.09 |
$84.25 |
+47.6% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? |
No |
514 |
0.502 |
$257.80 |
$210.44 |
+444.3% |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? |
No |
414 |
0.615 |
$254.40 |
$175.62 |
+222.9% |